Mathematical Modelling of Tumour Molecular Characteristics in Triple- Negative and ER+ HER2+ Breast Cancer using Bulk and Spatial Omics to Predict Disease Outcomes

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Embargo End Date

2027-02-09

ICR Authors

Authors

Zhu, X

Document Type

Thesis or Dissertation

Date

2026-02-09

Date Accepted

Abstract

Breast cancer (BC) is heterogeneous, both based on the statuses of hormone receptors and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) and molecularly. Patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and estrogen receptorpositive HER2-positive breast cancer (ER+ HER2+ BC) tend to have worse outcomes. For TNBC, chemotherapy and the emerging immunotherapy are the current treatment strategy. For ER+ HER2+ BC, patients are generally treated with endocrine and anti-HER2 therapies. Despite the use of tailored systemic therapies, tumours with the same receptor statuses often exhibit differential responses to treatment. We hypothesised that this variability is driven by molecular heterogeneity within the tumour and its microenvironment. In this thesis, I aimed to unveil the molecular characteristics of TNBC and ER+ HER2+ BC using multi-omics data generated from tumour samples in clinical trials, while leveraging computational methods to predict survival outcomes and treatment responses. In TNBC, I identified four biological subgroups that were associated with differential prognosis and showed potential in predicting pathological complete response. Subsequently, I developed a robust biology-informed machine learning-based TNBC classifier to assign TNBC into these subgroups. In ER+ HER2+ BC, my analyses revealed that changes in molecular characteristics after short duration of endocrine therapy provided better prognostic information than their baseline characteristics. Finally, an integrative bulk and spatial multi-omics analysis on selected cases in ER+ HER2+ BC suggested that TP53 mutations and greater intra-tumour heterogeneity were associated with endocrine therapy resistance. In summary, my PhD study has demonstrated the potential of integrating multimodal molecular data to uncover biomarkers for treatment response in TNBC and ER+ HER2+ BC. This thesis contributes a foundation for advancing personalised treatment for BC patients, while pointing to exciting opportunities for future exploration.

Citation

2026

DOI

Source Title

Publisher

Institute of Cancer Research (University Of London)

ISSN

eISSN

Collections

Research Team

Genomics in trials

Notes